CAMPAIGN 2012

Poll: Presidential Race Tightens in Nevada

Updated: October 11, 2012 | 11:34 a.m.
October 11, 2012 | 11:13 a.m.

The race remains close in several swing states for President Obama and Mitt Romney. (Susan Walsh and Gerald Herbert/AP)

The race in Nevada is effectively tied between President Obama and Mitt Romney, according to a new Suffolk University/KSNV poll released on Thursday.

With just under a month until the election, 47 percent of those polled support Obama, while 45 percent support the Republican nominee, falling within the margin of error. Of those polled, 6 percent are still undecided. It is worth noting, however, that the poll did include independent Virgil Goode and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who each polled at 1 percent.

Following general trends across battleground states, the president is still seen more favorably among voters; this poll shows him at 50 percent—4 points higher than Romney. The president is also seen as stronger on the economy. When asked which candidate had a better plan to fix the economy, 45 percent of those polled sided with Obama and 42 percent said Romney.

Obama still struggles with an approval rating, sitting at 48 percent. The same number of respondents disapprove of his job performance.

David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston, credited Romney’s debate performance last week for the uptick. Of those polled, 74 percent of debate-watchers polled thought Romney won the matchup, while only 19 percent said that Obama came out ahead.

The poll highlighted several important issues facing Nevada voters in this election, including immigration and entitlement reform. Of those polled, 64 percent support the Dream Act. Obama also comes out ahead on this issue; as 39 percent thought Obama was better on immigration—8 points higher than Romney.

Republicans attempted to highlight the party’s appeal to Latino voters during the GOP convention in August, showcasing several up-and-coming Hispanic politicians, such as Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez. Republican leaders such as former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, however, have publicly recognized the party’s problems in reaching out to this demographic group.

Nevada voters also placed more trust on Democrats with regard to Medicare and Social Security, 46 percent to 36 percent. However, this does not translate to Obama’s signature health care law: 45 percent generally thought it was bad, 1 point higher than those who approve of it. Democrats have called Republican vice presidential nominee Paul Ryan’s budget harmful to entitlements. In the debate, Romney pushed for a voucher-based Medicare system.

The poll was conducted with 500 registered Nevada voters between Oct. 6 and Oct. 9. The margin of error was 4.4 percentage points.

Get the latest news and analysis delivered to your inbox. Sign up for National Journal's morning alert, Wake-Up Call, and afternoon newsletter, The Edge. Subscribe here.


Leave A Comment
The National Journal Group has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor the comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
Comments powered by Disqus
Follow National Journal
Related Content
Columns
Charlie Cook: The Cook Report

Republicans Should Go Easy on Obama, At Least in Public

May 16, 2013
As a tactical matter, a subterranean campaign will score more direct hits on the president.
Ronald Brownstein: Political Connections

How the White House Scandals Could Hurt Republicans, Too

May 16, 2013
By enraging the base and strengthening the faction least willing to compromise with Obama, the IRS and Benghazi affairs could hurt a GOP shot at the presidency.
Norm Ornstein: Washington Inside Out

Eric Cantor’s Caucus Thwarts His Push for an Alternative Agenda

May 16, 2013
Cantor has learned that the tea-party movement he helped foster won’t fall in line behind his efforts to push an alternative conservative agenda.
More Columns »