CAMPAIGN 2012

Poll: Majority of Americans Expect Obama to Lose in 2012

Updated: May 29, 2013 | 8:22 p.m.
October 3, 2011 | 4:21 p.m.

A majority of Americans surveyed expect a Republican to beat President Obama in the 2012 presidential election, according to a Washington Post/ABC News poll released on Monday.

The results found that 55 percent of Americans surveyed said they believe Obama will lose the election. The number is higher among Republicans –- 83 percent expect a Republican to win -– and lower among Democrats, among whom only a third predicted a GOP victory. Only 58 percent of Democrats expect Obama to hold on to the White House next year.

The belief that a GOP candidate can bet the president is particularly high among Republicans who say they “strongly support” the tea party: 91 percent of those respondents said they expect Obama to lose.

The poll, conducted from Sept. 29 to Oct. 2, has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Get the latest news and analysis delivered to your inbox. Sign up for National Journal's morning alert, Wake-Up Call, and afternoon newsletter, The Edge. Subscribe here.


Leave A Comment
The National Journal Group has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor the comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
Comments powered by Disqus
Follow National Journal
Related Content
Columns
Josh Kraushaar: Against the Grain

Why Democrats Are Already Jumping Aboard the Hillary Clinton Bandwagon

1:57 p.m.
Claire McCaskill's endorsement was a bow to reality: Democrats don't want to challenge Clinton in 2016.
Charlie Cook: Off to the Races

No Guarantee of a GOP Senate Majority

June 17, 2013
The disproportionate exposure for the chamber’s Democrats is very clear. But can Republicans capitalize on their opportunities?
Ronald Brownstein: Political Connections

Why We Lack Good Privacy Guidelines

June 13, 2013
Technology innovations have served to strip away privacy. They could also be the key to restoring it.
More Columns »